信长之野望13天道连携率计算

若5人队某人出战法，其他人等的连携率分别是a、b、c、d，那么5连的几率就是ABCD，无连携的几率是（1-a）（1-b）（1-c）（1-d）
假设5人连携率同为X，那么

5连=x*x*x*x,                              4人连携率为y                                                      
4连=x*x*x*(1-x)*4                     4连=y*y*y                       3人连携率为z
3连=x*x*(1-x)*(1-x)*6               3连=y*y*(1-y)*3              3连=z*z
2连=x*(1-x)*(1-x)*(1-x)*4         2连=y*(1-y)*(1-y)*3        2连=z*(1-z)*2
不连=(1-x)*(1-x)*(1-x)*(1-x)      不连=(1-y)*(1-y)*(1-y)      不连=（1-z）*（1-z）

5S+鹤翼阵+军神+霸王时（100%）  4S+鹤翼阵+军神+霸王时（100%）     3S+鹤翼阵+军神+霸王时（100%
5连几率=1                                         4连=1                                                        3连=1
4连3连2连不连几率=0                         其余=0                                                       其余=0

5A+鹤翼阵+军神+霸王（90%）  4A+鹤翼阵+军神+霸王（90%）                3人队90% 
5连=0.9*0.9*0.9*0.9=0.6561         4连=0.729                             3连=0.81
4连=0.2916                                      3连=0.243                                2连=0.18
3连=0.0486                                      2连=0.027                            不连=0.01
2连=0.0036                                      不连=0.001
不连=0.0001

5S+鹤翼阵+军神（80%）     4人队80%                        3人队80%
5连=0.4096               4连=0.512                       3连=0.64
4连=0.4096               3连=0.384                        2连=0.32
3连=0.1536              2连=0.096                       不连=0.04
2连=0.0256               不连=0.008     
不连=0.0016

5A+鹤翼阵+军神（70%） 4人队70%                  3人队70&
5连=0.2401          4连=0.343                  3连=0.49
4连=0.4116           3连=0.441                  2连=0.42
3连=0.2646           2连=0.189                  不连=0.09
2连=0.0756           不连=0.027
不连=0.0081

5S+鹤翼阵（60%）        4人队60%                        3人队60%
5连=0.1296                4连=0.216                       3连=0.36
4连=0.3456                3连=0.432                       2连=0.48
3连=0.3456                 2连=0.288                       不连=0.16
2连=0.1536                 不连=0.064
不连=0.0256

5A+鹤翼阵（50%）      4人队50%                   3人队50%
5连=0.0625             4连=0.125                    3连=0.25
4连=0.2500              3连=0.375                     2连=0.50
3连=0.3750              2连=0.375                      不连=0.25
2连=0.2500              不连=0.125
不连=0.0625

5A+军神（40%）      4人队40%                       3人队40%
5连=0.0256                  4连=0.064                         3连=0.16
4连=0.1536                  3连=0.288                         2连=0.48
3连=0.3456                 2连=0.432                          不连=0.36
2连=0.3456                 不连=0.216
不连=0.1296

5S（30%）             4人队30%                          3人队30%
5连=0.0081     4连=0.027                           3连=0.09
4连=0.0756     3连=0.189                            2连=0.42
3连=0.2646     2连=0.341                            不连=0.49
2连=0.4116      不连=0.443
不连=0.2401

5A（20%）        4人队20%                  3人队20%
5连=0.0016   4连=0.008                   3连=0.04
4连=0.0256    3连=0.096                     2连=0.32
3连=0.1536   2连=0.384                     不连=064
2连=0.4096    不连=0.512
不连=0.4096

以上，即为同适性部队连携率，等了好久都没人发，我就勉力搞搞。